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The supervisory process of the Banco de España is established so that all of the multiple tasks comprising it are updated and reviewed each year. This enables supervisory teams to keep up-to-date each institution’s risk profile and, when applicable, the Banco de España’s supervisory strategy and supervisory plan for the institution.
Under this supervisory framework, the regular, at least yearly, execution of the PRC[7] seeks to provide the conclusions needed to better update the institution’s risk profile. To enable this, the ICAARs received from institutions are reviewed and evaluated and, based on this review and on the other supervisory activities performed during the year, possible deficiencies are identified, the pertinent conclusions are drawn and, where applicable, the necessary prudential measures are taken.
6.1 Evaluation of the institution
Once the ICAAR has been reviewed it is taken into account, along with all the results and conclusions from the various supervisory activities carried out during the year and any other relevant information available, in evaluating the institution’s solvency situation and in reviewing, where applicable, the risk matrix ratings[8] and supervisory risk profile of the institution. For this purpose the strengths and also the significant limitations or weaknesses identified are taken into account and the soundness of internal governance is assessed.
As a result of the review of the ICAAR, a brief memorandum is prepared which is included in the annual risk profile report of the institution. This memorandum has the following sections:
1. Capital target. The capital target set by the institution is specified and assessed. To do so, the institution’s specific situation and the targets set by peer institutions are considered.
2. Capital plan. The capital plan, including stress scenarios and contingency plans, is analysed to determine its reasonableness. The discrepancies between the current reality and what was envisaged in the capital planning of prior years are stated, if significant.
3. Consistency between the institution’s internal capital adequacy assessment in its ICAAR and the risk matrix ratings and risk profile of the institution drawn up by the Banco de España. The discrepancies considered significant are indicated.
4. Future action programme. The future action programme, if any, is summarised and assessed. The degree of fulfilment of prior years’ action programmes, when applicable, is also summarised and assessed.
5. Noteworthy matters. Other issues considered significant, in view of the information in the ICAAR and what is known about the institution, are indicated.
The evaluation of the institution is based especially on the reasonableness of the capital target and on the institution’s capital plan.
6.1.1 Capital target
An appropriate capital strategy, based on maintaining a sufficient buffer in excess of the regulatory minimum requirement, enables institutions to get over difficult situations and fulfil their strategic business plan.
Institutions’ ICAARs should display this strategy by means of their capital target. This target should be reasonable, sustainable over time and consistent with the institution’s strategic business plan, without prejudice to possible temporary deviations due to adverse impacts or one-time circumstances.
The Banco de España ICAAP guidelines define the capital target as the amount of capital in excess of the regulatory minimum which the institution considers necessary to hold both currently and in the future period projected in its capital planning and which is in accordance with:
- The risks inherent in its activity.
- The economic environment in which it operates.
- The internal governance, risk management and control systems.
- The strategic business plan.
- The quality of the own funds held.
- The real possibility of obtaining further own funds in the future, if needed.
The ICAAR must justify the institution’s capital target to the satisfaction of the Banco de España. In assessing the capital target the Banco de España considers:
- Material risks not covered under Pillar 1.
- Weaknesses in internal governance, risk management and control.
- The institution’s strategic business plan.
- The institution’s capital plan, including stress tests conducted.
- The Banco de España view, reflected in the risk matrix ratings and the supervisory risk profile given to the institution.
- The existence of available financial resources not considered in regulatory solvency calculations (to be more specific, level of general provisions and unrealised gains).
- The foreseeable increase in own funds requirements in times of crisis. This matter is particularly important for institutions which use advanced approaches for calculating their regulatory capital, due to the higher risk-sensitivity of these approaches.The institution’s capital target (in terms of volume and quality) is compared for this purpose with those of peer institutions. In the case of groups of credit institutions, the distribution of capital between the various legally separate institutions is assessed and, specifically, the reasonableness of the parent’s degree of leverage in its investment in subsidiaries is analysed.
The Banco de España, in assessing an institution’s capital target, will take into account particularly that this target should be commensurate with the institution’s risk profile. Hence institutions with a risk profile considered “high” by the Banco de España should have a higher capital target than institutions with a "medium-high" risk profile; institutions with a "medium-high" risk profile should have a higher capital target than institutions with a "medium-low” risk profile; and finally, institutions with a “medium-low” risk profile should have a higher capital target than institutions with a "low" risk profile.
6.1.2 Capital plan
The capital plan, in conjunction with the institution’s capital target, should allow the growth envisaged in the strategic business plan and, furthermore, the compliance with the mínimum capital requirements under Pillar 1 in the event of a severe recession or of clearly unfavourable business circumstances.
For this purpose, institutions should carry out stress tests and the Banco de España should evaluate them, since these stress tests should be sufficiently severe (for example, considering situations occurring once in the last 20-30 years). To determine the impact in terms of the actual losses arising with a certain probability, institutions may use (when possible and appropriate) advanced regulatory methods for calculating own funds and, on the basis of these methods, estimate the losses which may arise with a certain periodicity (which may be set previously by the Banco de España).
To review these stress tests, the Banco de España will follow the principles and recommendations established in this respect by international supervisory bodies[9], and will apply these recommendations to check that the degree of severity of the stress scenarios used by the various institutions is comparable. The Banco de España will assist institutions in order for them to establish scenarios of comparable severity. For this purpose, the Banco de España may provide direct inputs to institutions for certain stress tests, such as, for example, specific falls in GDP, certain rises in the unemployment rate, house price falls, increases in doubtful loans ratios, etc. and may also define specific “reverse stress scenarios”[10] to be considered by institutions.
Capital buffers over and above the regulatory minimum are held by institutions largely so that regulatory capital requirements continue to be met even in situations of stress, in which extraordinary losses appear. For this reason, if such extraordinary losses materialise, it does not make sense to require institutions to restore immediately their capital to its former level, since in such a case this excess capital lacks utility[11]. In the case those losses occur, the institution should consider a realistic and prudent plan for returning to its capital target.
6.2 Assessment of the programme of future measures
Based on the assessments set out in the ICAAR, institutions should also summarise the main deficiencies and weaknesses found and, if significant, draw up an action plan to remedy them. This action plan may include the following measures, among others:
- Modification of the institution’s risk profile: reduction of certain activities, use of new risk mitigation techniques, etc.
- Improvements in governance and internal organisation; improvements in risk management and internal control.
- Modificate (raise up) the capital target, stating the related adaptation period, if appropriate.
The Banco de España will analyse and assess, as often as necessary and at least yearly, the degree of fulfilment of these programmes of future measures which, as explained in the ICAAP guidelines, constitute a voluntary commitment of the institution.
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The yearly conclusion drawn from the PRC aims to comply with the obligation of yearly updating referred to in the last subparagraph of paragraph 1 of Article 10.bis of Law 13/1985.
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For further details on the risk matrix ratings, see the document “The Banco de España supervisory model” at Banco de España website.
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The BCBS published guidelines on “Principles for sound stress testing practices and supervision” in May 2009. The CEBS published guidelines on “Technical aspects of stress testing under the supervisory review process” in December 2006. In December 2009 has published, for consultation, a revised version.
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A reverse stress scenario, as defined in the BCBS guidelines, consists of starting from a given clearly adverse outcome (such as a capital shortfall, significant losses in certain activities or portfolios, etc.) and then investigate what events could lead to such an outcome.
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Nevertheless, it should be kept in mind that the capital able to absorb losses in these situations consists solely of the capital that can be used to absorb losses in a going-concern situation (which is only the highest-quality capital). It must be realised that if core capital is consumed to absorb losses this will affect the subsequent eligibility of the lower-quality capital which is leveraged to it. For example, an institution can (theoretically) have a solvency ratio of 12% with core capital of 3%, but the other 9% only counts if that 3% exists. If, due to extraordinary losses, 2% of the core capital is lost, then 6% of the lower-quality capital automatically ceases to count and the institution would have a solvency ratio of 4% from that time.
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